Definition
Break-even ROAS is the minimum ROAS needed so your variable contribution profit is not negative. It's a floor, not a growth target.
Contribution margin model
Contribution margin ~= gross margin - payment fees - shipping/fulfillment - returns/refunds (all as % of revenue).
Formula
Break-even ROAS = 1 / contribution margin.
What to include (practical)
- Include costs that scale with revenue (fees, fulfillment, returns).
- Do not include fixed costs here; handle them by setting a higher target ROAS.
- Keep assumptions consistent across campaigns so comparisons are fair.
Turning break-even into a target ROAS
- Add a buffer for fixed costs and desired profit (e.g., 20-50% above break-even).
- Use different targets per channel based on volatility and scalability.
- Validate with incrementality tests as spend scales.